1.Aziya yo muri Werurwe ibiciro bya peteroli bivanze
Nk’uko byatangajwe na ICIS Singapore, muri Werurwe, ibikomoka kuri peteroli ku biciro bitandukanye muri Aziya byagaragaje ibiciro bitandukanye bitewe n’imihindagurikire y’ibicuruzwa n’ibisabwa.Kugeza igihe cyo gutangaza amakuru, kimwe cya kabiri cy’ibicuruzwa 31 bya peteroli bikwirakwizwa na ICIS Aziya Ibiciro by’ibiciro byagabanutseho ibiciro muri Werurwe ugereranije no muri Gashyantare.
ICIS yavuze ko muri rusange icyifuzo cy’Ubushinwa cyatangiye gukira muri Werurwe.Ibikorwa mu Bushinwa biteganijwe ko bizakomeza kandi uko icyorezo cy’ibyorezo cyoroha.Ibiciro bya polyester mu Bushinwa byazamutse cyane muri Werurwe, byatewe n’imikorere ikomeye mu bukerarugendo no mu bikorwa byo hanze, kandi ihagarikwa ridateganijwe mu gihembwe cya mbere naryo rizamura igiciro mpuzandengo cya acide acrilike muri Werurwe.Imihindagurikire y’ibiciro bya peteroli irashobora kongera kwiyongera gushidikanya ku bijyanye n’ibiciro.Ibiciro by’ibipimo ngenderwaho by’Amerika muri West Texas Intermediate (WTI) byagabanutse, bituma igiciro cya naphtha kiri munsi ya $ 700 / mt hagati yukwezi.
Muri icyo gihe, ibisabwa mu nzego zimwe na zimwe nk'imitungo itimukanwa hamwe n'imodoka muri Aziya birashobora kwerekana iterambere rito, ariko ntibizaba bihagije kugira ngo bikemure ibibazo.Ikigereranyo cya diisononyl phthalate (DINP) na alcool ya oxo bifitanye isano rya bugufi n’inganda zubaka, byagabanutse muri Werurwe.Ibiciro kubicuruzwa bimwe na bimwe, nka propylene na polypropilene (PP), bizakomeza kuremerwa cyane nubushobozi bushya.Ibiciro bya Ethylene nabyo byahindutse intege muri Werurwe, ariko ibiciro byo muri Werurwe byari bikiri hejuru ugereranije na Gashyantare kubera aho byatangiriye mu ntangiriro za Werurwe.
Ubushinwa bwongeye kugaruka mu gihembwe cya mbere bwari butandukanye mu buryo butandukanye, hamwe no kuzamuka kwihuse ku bicuruzwa bitaramba, ariko byagarutse buhoro ku bicuruzwa biramba n’ishoramari.Mu nganda z’imirire n’ubukerarugendo, nk’uko imibare yatanzwe na Minisiteri ishinzwe gutwara abantu n'ibintu mu Bushinwa ibigaragaza, muri Gashyantare, imijyi 54 y’Ubushinwa ifite gari ya moshi zo mu mijyi na gari ya moshi yatwaye abagenzi bagera kuri miliyari 2.18, umwaka ushize wiyongereyeho 39,6%, ugereranyije na impuzandengo y'abagenzi buri kwezi muri 2019 9,6%.Ubwiyongere bw’imodoka za gari ya moshi mu mezi abiri ashize ya 2023 nabwo bugaragaza ko byagarutse cyane mu ngendo z’imijyi mu Bushinwa.FMCG muri Aziya izaterwa imbaraga nibikorwa byiyongera hanze kandi bizamura ibyifuzo bya polymers.Gupakira ibiryo n'ibinyobwa bizafasha PP hamwe nuducupa twa polyethylene terephthalate (PET).Jenny Yi, umusesenguzi mukuru wa ICIS yagize ati: "Kongera kugura imyenda bizagirira akamaro inganda za polyester."
Ibintu bidashidikanywaho bikomeje kuguma mu bice bimwe na bimwe byo gukoresha-abakoresha, biganisha ku myumvire yo kwisoko.Mu rwego rw’imodoka, kugurisha muri Mutarama na Gashyantare 2023 byagabanutse ku mwaka ku mwaka kubera ko imisoro yo kugura imodoka mu Bushinwa hamwe n’inkunga y’imodoka zikoresha amashanyarazi zirangira mu mpera za 2022. Icyifuzo cy’inganda z’ubwubatsi muri Aziya cyakomeje kuba intege nke.Byongeye kandi, ibyoherezwa mu mahanga byakomeje kuba intege nke mu gihe ifaranga ry’isi yose hamwe n’igitutu cya polyolefin.
ICIS yizera ko ubushobozi bushya bwo gutanga umusaruro buzaba ikindi kibazo cy’ingutu gihura n’igitutu cyo kugabanuka ku biciro by’ibikomoka kuri peteroli muri Aziya uyu mwaka.Gutangiza ibice bibiri binini bya naphtha hamwe n’ibikomoka hagati muri Gashyantare bizakomeza gutanga ibicuruzwa bimwe na bimwe nka polyethylene (PE) na PP.Ugereranije nu ruganda rwa Ethylene, urunigi rwa propylene na PP rwibasiwe cyane nubushobozi bushya bwo gukora.Ibi biterwa nuko imishinga myinshi mishya ya propane dehydrogenation (PDH) izatangira gukoreshwa muri uyu mwaka.Kuva muri Werurwe kugeza Mata uyu mwaka, Aziya izaba ifite toni miliyoni 2.6 / yumwaka yubushobozi bushya bwa propylene iteganijwe gushyirwa mubikorwa.Mu guhangana n’impanuka ishobora kuzamuka mu kongera ubushobozi, ibiciro bya PP muri Aziya biteganijwe ko bizamanuka muri Werurwe na Mata.
Amy Yu, umusesenguzi mukuru muri ICIS yagize ati: "Biteganijwe ko toni zirenga 140.000 za Ethylene zoherezwa muri Amerika muri Aziya mu gihembwe cya kabiri, ibyo bigatuma imyumvire y'isoko irushaho kugira amakenga."Nanone, ibicuruzwa biva mu tundi turere birashobora gutuma Aziya itangwa neza nyuma ya Werurwe.Imizigo ya PP, PE na Ethylene mu burasirazuba bwo hagati iragenda igaruka buhoro buhoro kubera ko ihagarikwa ry’ibihe muri kariya karere ryagabanutse mu mpera za Werurwe.Hamwe n’isoko ryiyongera ku isoko ry’ibanze ry’Ubushinwa ndetse n’ibiciro biri hejuru cyane mu tundi turere, bamwe mu bakora PP bazakomeza kohereza mu mahanga ibicuruzwa byinshi bya PP mu tundi turere, nko mu majyepfo y’amajyepfo ya Aziya, Aziya yepfo na Afurika yepfo.Uru rugendo rwubucuruzi rushingiye ku idirishya ryubukemurampaka rushobora no kugira ingaruka ku biciro mu tundi turere.
2.S & P Isi yose: Polyethylene yisi yose hamwe na propylene inyungu yinyungu izakomeza kuba hasi
Vuba aha, abayobozi benshi ba S&P Global Commodity Insights bavuze mu nama mpuzamahanga ya peteroli yabereye i Houston ko inganda za polyethylene na propylene zizagira inyungu nkeya kubera ubusumbane buri hagati y’ibitangwa n’ibisabwa.
Jesse Tijelina, ukuriye polymers ku isi muri S&P Global, yavuze ko ubusumbane bukomeye hagati y’ibitangwa n’ibisabwa byatumye isoko rya polyethylene ku isi ryinjira mu nkono, kandi inyungu z’inganda za polyethylene ntizishobora gukira kugeza mu 2024 hakiri kare, kandi inganda zimwe na zimwe zizabikora. bigomba gufungwa burundu.
Tijelina yavuze ko kuva mu mwaka wa 2012 kugeza 2017, umuvuduko w'ubwiyongere bw'itangwa n'ibikenerwa na poliethylene bisigara ari bimwe, ariko ubushobozi bwo kubyaza umusaruro bukaba bwarasabye toni zigera kuri miliyoni 10 ku mwaka.Kugeza 2027, ubushobozi bushya buzarenga icyifuzo gishya kuri toni miliyoni 3 / umwaka.Mu gihe kirekire, isoko rya polyethylene riratera imbere ku kigero cya toni miliyoni 4 ku mwaka.Niba kongera ubushobozi byahagaritswe nonaha, isoko izakomeza gufata imyaka igera kuri 3 kugirango yongere.Tijelina yagize ati: "Iyo dusubije amaso inyuma mu 2022, hari abaproducer benshi bafunze by'agateganyo umutungo uhenze cyane, kandi twizera ko byinshi mu bikoresho byafunzwe by'agateganyo bizafungwa burundu mu gihe kiri imbere."
Larry Tan, ukuriye akarere ka Aziya-Pasifika, yavuze ko kwiyongera k'ubushobozi bwa propane dehydrogenation (PDH) byatumye habaho isoko rikabije ku isoko rya propylene, ibyo bikaba bizakomeza inyungu z’inganda za propylene ku rwego rwo hasi kugeza mu 2025. Inganda za propylene ku isi kuri ubu ziri mu kaga, kandi inyungu ntizatera imbere kugeza mu 2025 hakiri kare.Muri 2022, izamuka ryibiciro byumusaruro hamwe nibisabwa bidakenewe bizatuma inyungu zunguka nkeya cyangwa zihinduke nabi kubakora propilen benshi muri Aziya no muburayi.Kuva muri 2020 kugeza 2024, ubwiyongere bwa polymer na chimique ya propylene biteganijwe ko buzikuba inshuro 2,3 ugereranije no kwiyongera kw'ibisabwa.
Tan, yavuze kandi ko imipaka igomba kuba “nziza cyane” ku bicuruzwa byose usibye igikoma cya naphtha mu Burayi bw’iburengerazuba mu 2028. Amasoko abiri manini ya propylene mu nganda zikomoka kuri peteroli ni PDH hamwe n’inganda za catalitiki.S&P Global iteganya ko inzibacyuho y’ingufu zigabanya ingufu za lisansi, imwe mu ngaruka zabyo zizagabanuka mu bikorwa byo guturika catalitiki.Tan yagize ati: "Iyo rero isi ikeneye propylene ikomeje, icyuho cya propylene kigomba kuzuzwa ahantu runaka."Ibice bya PDH ntibizabona inyungu zingenzi kugeza icyo gihe.
3. Igabanuka ry'umusaruro utunguranye rya OPEC ritera izamuka rikabije ry'ibiciro bya peteroli mpuzamahanga
Mu gihe abanyamuryango b’umuryango w’ibihugu byohereza peteroli mu mahanga (OPEC) batunguranye batangaje ko igabanuka rikabije ry’umusaruro, ibiciro by’ibiciro bya peteroli mpuzamahanga byazamutse cyane ku buryo burenga 6% mu gusoza ku ya 3.
Kugeza uyu munsi urangiye, igiciro cy’ibiciro bya peteroli byoroheje byo kugemura muri Gicurasi ku isoko ry’imigabane rya New York ryazamutseho $ 4.75 bigera ku madolari 80.42 kuri barrale, byiyongeraho 6.28%.London Brent ejo hazaza h'ibicuruzwa byatanzwe muri Kamena yazamutseho $ 5.04, ni ukuvuga 6.31%, kugira ngo ifunge $ 84.93 kuri barrale.
Kuri uyu wa 3, OPEC yatangaje ko komite ishinzwe tekinike ihuriweho na OPEC ndetse n’ibihugu bidatanga amavuta ya OPEC byagaragaye mu nama yabaye uwo munsi abanyamuryango ba OPEC batangaje ku ya 2 ko bazatangira gahunda yo kugabanya umusaruro ku bushake ku kigereranyo cya buri munsi ya miliyoni 1.157 barrele guhera muri Gicurasi.Ni ingamba zo gukumira isoko rya peteroli.Hamwe n’ikigereranyo cy’Uburusiya kigabanya umusaruro wa buri munsi wagabanutseho 500.000 barrele kugeza mu mpera zuyu mwaka, igiteranyo cy’igabanuka ry’umusaruro ku bushake n’ibihugu by’ibicuruzwa bitanga peteroli bizagera kuri miliyoni 1.66 kuri buri munsi.
Vivek Dahl, umusesenguzi w’ibicuruzwa by’ingufu muri Banki ya Commonwealth ya Ositaraliya, yavuze ko icyemezo giheruka cy’abanyamuryango ba OPEC cyerekana ko ingaruka zo kugabanya umusaruro zishobora gukomera kurusha mbere.
Itsinda UBS rikomeje gukomeza kubona neza ibiciro bya peteroli, riteganya ko ibiciro bya peteroli ya Brent bizagera ku madolari 100 kuri barrale muri Kamena uyu mwaka.
JIN DUN CHIMICALyubatse uruganda rwihariye (meth) acrylic monomer inganda mu ntara ya ZHEJIANG.Ibi biremeza neza ko itangwa rya HEMA, HPMA, HEA, HPA, GMA rifite ireme ryiza.Monomers idasanzwe ya acrylate ikoreshwa cyane muburyo bwa thermosetting resin acrylic resin, crosslinkable emulsion polymers, acrylate anaerobic adhesive, ibice bibiri bigize acrylate yifata, solvent acrylate yometse, emulion acrylate yifata, agent irangiza impapuro hamwe no gusiga amarangi ya acrylic muri adhesive.Twateje imbere kandi shyashya. na idasanzwe (meth) acrylic monomers n'ibiyikomokaho.Nka florine acrylate monomers, Irashobora gukoreshwa cyane mugutondekanya kuringaniza, amarangi, wino, ibisigazwa byamafoto, ibikoresho bya optique, kuvura fibre, guhindura umurima wa plastiki cyangwa reberi.Dufite intego yo kuba isoko yambere murwego rwaidasanzwe ya acrylate monomers, gusangira ubunararibonye bwacu nibicuruzwa byiza na serivisi zumwuga.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Apr-07-2023